Macroeconomic Analysis

 

Reports

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05/22/2013  United States

Fed Watch. FOMC Minutes: April 30th – May 1st

FOMC Holding Strong with Current Policy Accommodation


05/01/2013  United States

Fed Watch. FOMC Statement: April 30th – May 1st

FOMC Conveys Elevated Level of Readiness to Tune QE to Change in Economic Conditions


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05/24/2013  Asia

China/Asia Economic Outlook: Second Quarter 2013 (Chinese version)

在逐渐改善的外部环境和支持性的政策下,亚洲经济体持续增长。然而,2013年初的增长速度略微低于预期,我们稍稍调低了2013-14年亚太区的增长率,从5.8%调至5.4%。


05/23/2013  Brazil

Brazil Economic Outlook. Second Quarter 2013

Growth should accelerate to 3.4% in 2013 and 3.8% in 2014 from only 0.9% last year. In spite of this cyclical recovery, there is a structural deterioration of the domestic macroeconomic environment.


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Flash

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05/20/2013  United States

U.S. Weekly Flash. Retail Sales Show Signs of Improvement Despite the Decline in Gas Prices  

The retail sales report for April showed a slight rise in consumer spending despite the call for a consensus decline


05/17/2013  Mexico

Mexico Weekly Flash. Inflation set to start dropping  

We expect the annual inflation rate to start falling back and come in under the 4% threshold in coming months


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Countries with related publications

Events

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05/14/2013

An Independent Fiscal Responsibility Authority For Spain at IEF, Madrid, May 13!14, 2013
Macroeconomic Forecasting and the Sustainability of Public Finances

An Independent Fiscal Responsibility Authority For Spain


05/09/2013

U.S. Monthly Outlook Slides May 2013


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Press Articles

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02/05/2013

The Sequence of China Financial System Reforms

近期的自由化措施旨在缓解金融抑制、带动经济发展和保持金融稳定。中国应充分考虑到改革顺序的重要性,依照惯例优先放开国内金融体系,然后是汇率改革和资本账户开放。

Author: Xia Le, Stephen Schwartz and Alicia Garcia Herrero
Source: New Finance

01/03/2013

Five challenges for India in 2013

After a disappointing 2012, India heads for an uncertain 2013. Here are five key challenges we would recommend the Indian economic authorities to focus on.

Author: Sumedh Deorukhkar; Alicia García-Herrero
Source: BBVA Research

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Working Papers

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04/08/2013

Projections of dynamic generational tables and longevity risk in Chile

This study aims to construct a forecast for mortality rates, based on projection models of the ARMA (p, q) type and non-parametric contrast methodology. The study is based on the case of Chile

Author: Javier Alonso, David Tuesta, Diego Torres, Begoña Villamide
 13/15

04/04/2013

Short-Run Forecasting of Argentine GDP Growth

In this paper, we propose a small-scale dynamic factor model for monitoring Argentine GDP in real time using economic data at mixed frequencies (monthly and quarterly)

Author: Máximo Camacho , Marcos Dal Bianco, Jaime Martínez-Martín
 13/14

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