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Central Banks
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05/22/2013 United States Fed Watch. FOMC Minutes: April 30th – May 1stFOMC Holding Strong with Current Policy Accommodation |
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05/01/2013 United States Fed Watch. FOMC Statement: April 30th – May 1stFOMC Conveys Elevated Level of Readiness to Tune QE to Change in Economic Conditions |
Economic Analysis
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05/24/2013 Asia China/Asia Economic Outlook: Second Quarter 2013 (Chinese version)在逐渐改善的外部环境和支持性的政策下，亚洲经济体持续增长。然而，2013年初的增长速度略微低于预期，我们稍稍调低了2013-14年亚太区的增长率，从5.8%调至5.4%。 |
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05/23/2013 Brazil  Brazil Economic Outlook. Second Quarter 2013
Growth should accelerate to 3.4% in 2013 and 3.8% in 2014 from only 0.9% last year. In spite of this cyclical recovery, there is a structural deterioration of the domestic macroeconomic environment. |
Flash
Weekly Flash
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05/20/2013 United States U.S. Weekly Flash. Retail Sales Show Signs of Improvement Despite the Decline in Gas PricesThe retail sales report for April showed a slight rise in consumer spending despite the call for a consensus decline |
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05/17/2013 Mexico Mexico Weekly Flash. Inflation set to start droppingWe expect the annual inflation rate to start falling back and come in under the 4% threshold in coming months |
Flash
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05/24/2013 Latin America Latam Daily Flash: Labor market continued to moderate in Brazil; inflation surprised upwards in Mexico |
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05/23/2013 Latin America Latam Daily Flash: Inflation moderates slightly at the beginning of May in Brazil; retail sales recover in Mexico |
Countries with related publications
Events
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05/14/2013 An Independent Fiscal Responsibility Authority For Spain at IEF, Madrid, May 13!14, 2013
Macroeconomic Forecasting and the Sustainability of Public Finances An Independent Fiscal Responsibility Authority For Spain |
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05/09/2013 U.S. Monthly Outlook Slides May 2013 |
Press Articles
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02/05/2013 The Sequence of China Financial System Reforms近期的自由化措施旨在缓解金融抑制、带动经济发展和保持金融稳定。中国应充分考虑到改革顺序的重要性，依照惯例优先放开国内金融体系，然后是汇率改革和资本账户开放。 Author: Xia Le, Stephen Schwartz and Alicia Garcia HerreroSource: New Finance |
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01/03/2013 Five challenges for India in 2013After a disappointing 2012, India heads for an uncertain 2013. Here are five key challenges we would recommend the Indian economic authorities to focus on. Author: Sumedh Deorukhkar; Alicia García-HerreroSource: BBVA Research |
Working Papers
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04/08/2013 Projections of dynamic generational tables and longevity risk in Chile
This study aims to construct a forecast for mortality rates, based on projection models of the ARMA (p, q) type and non-parametric contrast methodology. The study is based on the case of Chile Author: Javier Alonso, David Tuesta, Diego Torres, Begoña VillamideNº 13/15 |
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04/04/2013 Short-Run Forecasting of Argentine GDP Growth
In this paper, we propose a small-scale dynamic factor model for monitoring Argentine GDP in real time using economic data at mixed frequencies (monthly and quarterly) Author: Máximo Camacho , Marcos Dal Bianco, Jaime Martínez-MartínNº 13/14 |