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Situación México

Quarterly report of the Mexican Economic Outlook on a global basis.



Título de tabla
Fecha Resumen Formato
06/2008
  • U.S.: base scenario toward a “soft recession”, doubts regarding the strength of the recovery
  • Economic activity: toward a sharper slowdown in the 2nd and 3rd quarters
  • Inflation: will price increases of raw materials continue?
  • Monetary Policy: a complex outlook for Banco de México
  • Markets: a strengthened peso in the next few months
 267 KB|
05/2008
  • U.S. Economic Scenario
  • The Mexican Economy Faces the U.S. Slowdown
  • Inflation: between Economic Slowdown, Tax Reform and International Shocks
  • Financial Markets: In the Midst of Financial Turbulence and Inflationary Pressures
 359 KB|
05/2007
  • Activity: weak 1st semester, some improvement in the 2nd
  • Inflation: has the turbulence in raw material prices passed?
  • Will the monetary pause continue?
  • A strong peso with low risk aversion will be maintained
  • Progress expected in fiscal and energy policy reforms
 269 KB|
03/2007
  • Economic downturn: external demand is the cause
  • High inflation in 1H07; ensuing convergence toward goal
  • The monetary “pause” to extend into the 1st half of 2007
  • The peso to remain strong, weakening at the end of year
  • A reduced slope in bond yields in 2007
 313 KB|
11/2006
  • Soft slowdown; domestic demand, the key
  • Banxico: more credibility in inflation expectations
  • Monetary "pause" at least until the beginning of 2007
  • The peso will remain strong
  • The risks: sudden U.S. slowdown and oil prices
 359 KB|
08/2006
  • 2006: a good growth year
  • Inflation: slight impact due to raw material prices
  • Will the monetary "pause" be maintained?
  • Will the peso and the markets remain strong in 4Q06?
  • How would progress in reforms affect interest rates?
  • Main risk: adjustment in the U.S, a low probability
 358 KB|
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